PALMOILMAGAZINE, JAKARTA – In the newly released Climate Outlook 2025, The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika – BMKG) not only delivered climate predictions but also provided a number of recommendations for sectors affected by climate change, especially agriculture and disaster management.
BMKG Deputy for Climatology, Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan, revealed that the majority of Indonesian regions are predicted to experience normal to above normal rainfall, conditions that support food crop productivity in national food centers.
Ardhasena said that sufficient rainfall in 2025 can be utilized to increase food yields in major producing areas. “However, for areas that are expected to experience below-normal rainfall, anticipatory measures are needed through adjustments to planting patterns and water management,” he said in an official statement received by Palmoilmagazine.com, Wednesday (6/11/2024).
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He suggested choosing plant varieties that are more resistant to dry conditions to maintain productivity. Support from irrigation and agricultural intensification in the region, Ardhasena continued, is believed to be able to overcome the challenges of climate change.
BMKG also warned of the potential for extreme hydrometeorology in some areas with high rainfall, especially at the peak of the 2025 rainy season. “Areas with the potential for above-average rainfall should be aware of the risk of floods and landslides,” Ardhasena said. To reduce the impact, BMKG recommends optimizing water infrastructure such as drainage, infiltration systems, reservoirs, and embungs. This is expected to reduce the potential for flooding in vulnerable urban areas.
On the other hand, BMKG warns of the threat of drought in areas where low rainfall is predicted during the dry season, especially from July to September. “Although rainfall tends to be above normal, drought and forest fires remain a risk that needs to be watched out for,” he added. BMKG also reminded local governments to ensure the operational readiness of reservoirs and retention basins to utilize high rainfall during the rainy season and maintain water reserves during the dry season.
The weak La Nina that is expected to last until early 2025 is also a special concern. This phenomenon can increase rainfall by up to 20% in some areas, potentially triggering the frequency of hydrometeorological disasters such as floods and landslides. Local governments and related institutions are urged to improve disaster preparedness, especially in areas with a history of flooding.
In addition, Ardhasena revealed that the increase in air temperature from May to July 2025 could pose additional challenges for the agricultural sector and vulnerable ecosystems. He emphasized the importance of comprehensive preventive measures from all relevant parties, especially in maintaining food stability and protecting people from the impact of possible disasters. (P1)
